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2024-12-14 01:25:50

Industrial Securities' investment strategy for the construction industry in 2025: internal and external resonance, optimistic about debt conversion and the "Belt and Road" industry, Industrial Securities Research Report said that the construction industry will face certain pressure in 2024, and it is expected that infrastructure investment will remain high in 2025, driven by the debt conversion policy. Review and prospect of plate market: central state-owned enterprises and design plates led the gains, with obvious excess returns. Main line 1: Debt conversion is expected to drive the improvement of the management quality of construction central enterprises. 1) The driving force and mode of action of this debt conversion can be compared with the "Belt and Road" market in 2014 and the PPP market in 2016, and the policy is driven from top to bottom. 2) The institutions' positions in construction central enterprises are low, and the valuation of construction central enterprises is also in the lower position of the historical center. 3) The unprecedented intensity of debt conversion will help the central enterprises to realize the double promotion of EPS and PE. Main Line 2: The Belt and Road Initiative is expected to accelerate and benefit international engineering enterprises. The "Belt and Road" market has accelerated its expansion, and international engineering enterprises are expected to accelerate their going out to sea, and their performance and valuation have both improved.In the UK, the RICS house price difference in November was positive 25, the highest since September 2022, and in October it was positive 16.China Bank's RMB clearing volume in Australia exceeded 100 trillion yuan. According to Bank of China, recently, Bank of China Sydney Branch and Bank of China Hong Kong jointly held a RMB forum in Sydney to celebrate the 10th anniversary of being an Australian RMB clearing bank. As the only RMB clearing bank in the South Pacific at present, in the past ten years, China Bank has taken root in Australia and South Pacific, continuously expanded its clearing network, cooperated with four local banks and other financial institutions in Australia, and became the main channel for RMB clearing of local important banks, providing RMB clearing volume of more than 100 trillion yuan.


CITIC Securities: There is no need to be overly pessimistic about the export of home appliances catalyzed by state subsidies. CITIC Securities Research Report said that domestically, the sales data of white electricity and black electricity continued to improve under the support of state subsidies. Externally, the overall export exposure of home appliance enterprises to the United States is relatively limited, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic. Looking forward to the future, the domestic demand stimulus policy is expected to be further overweight, and it is suggested to focus on white power enterprises that benefit from state subsidies; Optional sectors where domestic demand is expected to reverse (small household appliances, projection).The Nikkei 225 index hit a two-month high of 40,000 points, and the Nikkei 225 index hit a two-month high of 40,000 points, up 1.61% in the day.Digging deep into the multiplier effect, we will launch a new round of coupons. Beijing will issue no less than 30,000 coupons for ice and snow, Changzhou, Jiangsu will issue 1 million yuan coupons for "Su Xin Consumption Celebrating New Year's Day" in 2024, and Xi 'an will launch a new round of coupons ... With the arrival of the peak consumption season at the end of the year, we will launch a new round of coupons distribution activities in many places and increase support for catering, cultural tourism and other consumption fields. The reporter found that the new round of coupons is characterized by multi-domain, rolling and multi-denomination distribution, covering catering, accommodation, sports and other fields. At the same time, rolling distribution of coupons can effectively cover important consumption nodes such as New Year's Day and Spring Festival, and multi-denomination coupons will also meet the diverse needs of different consumers. "The issuance of coupons can produce a multiplier effect and drive a wider range of economic activities. As a short-term stimulus measure, coupons will quickly boost consumer confidence, activate market demand, and at the same time drive the recovery and development of related industries. In particular, the accurate delivery of consumer vouchers in different fields and batches will help guide the consumption direction and optimize the consumption structure. " Zeng Fue, a professor at economics and management school of wuhan university, said. (Economic Information Daily)


Canadian Finance Minister: Several governors urged the government to make a strong response to Trump's tariff threat.The Chinese Consulate General in Los Angeles reminded citizens in China to take precautions against mountain fires. Recently, a sudden mountain fire disaster occurred in Malibu, California, USA, causing evacuation and some property losses. The Consulate General in Los Angeles would like to remind China citizens in the consular district to pay attention to the dynamics of mountain fires in a timely manner, make reasonable arrangements for travel, and avoid going to relevant areas; Comply with the local government's disaster avoidance and evacuation guidelines; Scientific protection to reduce the impact of mountain fire smoke on health.CITIC Securities: There is no need to be overly pessimistic about the export of home appliances catalyzed by state subsidies. CITIC Securities Research Report said that domestically, the sales data of white electricity and black electricity continued to improve under the support of state subsidies. Externally, the overall export exposure of home appliance enterprises to the United States is relatively limited, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic. Looking forward to the future, the domestic demand stimulus policy is expected to be further overweight, and it is suggested to focus on white power enterprises that benefit from state subsidies; Optional sectors where domestic demand is expected to reverse (small household appliances, projection).

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